Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu will land in Washington on Monday, but his visit, filled with meetings with top US officials and an address to Congress, will be overshadowed by US President Joe Biden’s surprising decision to exit the presidential race. Despite this, Netanyahu’s visit remains crucial for the ongoing ceasefire negotiations aimed at solidifying a framework agreement for Gaza.
Senior US officials assert that a deal is near, but the success hinges on one critical question: Does Netanyahu genuinely desire a ceasefire?
The prevailing sentiment in Israeli media, politics, and Tel Aviv streets suggests otherwise. Prolonging the war benefits Netanyahu by delaying accountability for the October 7 attacks, avoiding new elections, and bolstering his party’s election prospects. His right-wing coalition partners have also threatened to withdraw support if he ends the war.
Even President Biden has noted suspicions that Netanyahu might be extending the conflict to stay in power. Recent actions by Netanyahu, such as retracting a key concession regarding Palestinian access to northern Gaza and insisting on Israeli control of the Philadelphi Corridor, further fuel these doubts.
Despite this, Netanyahu’s team continues negotiations, exchanging proposals with Hamas and edging closer to a deal. Increasing public pressure, especially from hostage families, demands a ceasefire, and Netanyahu’s allies claim he is earnest in wanting the right deal.
Netanyahu’s visit to Washington aims to bolster his and Israel’s standing. He seeks support from US officials and lawmakers while facing pressure to agree to a ceasefire. President Biden, despite past support, has grown critical of Israel’s Gaza operations, reflecting concerns over civilian casualties.
Biden’s recent decision to withhold some munitions from Israel and his more critical stance towards the Gaza conflict will shape their upcoming meeting. With Biden now a lame-duck president, how he will leverage his remaining time in office to influence Netanyahu remains uncertain.
Netanyahu, aware of the shifting dynamics, may also consider former President Donald Trump’s stance. While Trump has been a staunch supporter of Israel, he has also urged for a swift resolution to the Gaza conflict. Their previously close relationship has soured, and Netanyahu will gauge Trump allies’ positions during his Washington visit.
As Netanyahu navigates these complex dynamics, his true intentions regarding a ceasefire will significantly impact the potential for peace in Gaza.
