A powerful new forecast warns that Sri Lanka has only a brief window to recover before another wave of severe weather threatens landslides, floods and major disruption across the island.
Special Disclosure: “We have only got a 4 day break?” Weather Forecast for the Next 10 Days for December 01 to 10. Even if the floods subside and the rains stop, December 05 is identified as a red light. This analysis is based on data from the Department of Meteorology, Google Weather models, IMD and international satellite observations.
Cyclone Ditwa is moving away from Sri Lanka and heading towards India, but the atmosphere is not calming completely. Scientific models indicate three clear phases of weather in the next 10 days.
Phase 1 from November 30 to December 03 is the short period of respite. With the cyclone drifting away, rainfall decreases significantly for three days. On November 30 the sky will remain cloudy but heavy rain is not expected and the western region including Colombo shows only a 10 percent chance of showers. On December 01 and 02 the sky will remain cloudy with very little or no rain and temperatures around 29 to 30 degrees Celsius. December 03 may bring light evening showers. These three days are described as the golden time to clean houses, repair wells and clear drainage systems before the next weather change.
Phase 2 from December 04 to 06 signals the return of heavy thunderstorms. Models show that December 05 carries a high 75 percent probability of severe thunderstorms and intense rainfall. The risk of flash floods and landslides is elevated due to saturated soil. December 04 will see evening thundercloud development and December 06 will bring scattered storms. People in Kandy, Badulla and Ratnapura under existing landslide notices must remain extremely vigilant.
Phase 3 from December 07 to 10 will shift into the normal Northeast Monsoon pattern with steady light rain and overcast skies. These rains are not destructive but can slow drainage and prolong flooding in low lying areas.
The scientific summary highlights a short three to four day breathing period before the second wave of rain. People are advised to check roofs and drainage immediately, stay alert near landslide zones on December 05 and move crops and goods to safer places. Nature has given a second chance and it must be used wisely.
– Senior Journalist Senarath Dissanayake –
Editor’s Note: 3rd December 2025
Clarification on Above Weather Report Story: No Second Cyclone Expected
The Morning Telegraph wishes to inform its readers that, as per the latest updates from the Department of Meteorology, there is no threat of a second cyclone hitting Sri Lanka in the coming days.
While Cyclone ‘Ditwah’ has now passed, heavy rains and strong winds are still expected due to the ongoing Northeast Monsoon, with rainfall exceeding 200mm forecasted from December 4th onwards in several provinces, including Northern, North-Central, North-Western, Central, and Trincomalee. The public is advised to remain vigilant and take appropriate precautions.
Clarification on November 30th Article
We also wish to address concerns regarding our article published on November 30th, titled:
“Sri Lanka’s 10-Day Weather Shock: Only 4 Days of Calm Before Danger Returns?”
This headline was posed as a question, not a definitive forecast. The article was based on public concern following a widely shared multiple Facebook posts in Sinhala that speculated on the possibility of another cyclone. Our intention was to inform, not alarm, and to encourage preparedness in light of public uncertainty.
Our Commitment to Responsible Journalism
Recognizing the sensitivity of our readers during challenging times, and respecting all feedback received, we have published this clarification under our Corrections Policy to avoid further misunderstanding.
The Morning Telegraph remains committed to ethical and responsible journalism, ensuring information shared is accurate, timely, and in the public interest. At no point was there any intention to cause fear or distress.
We continue to hope that the ongoing monsoon conditions will not result in harm to life or property, and we remain dedicated to keeping our readers informed with trusted updates.
Thank you for your continued trust and understanding.
The link to the follow-up published article: https://themorningtelegraph.com/36159/
