Weather experts warn of a potential long dry spell, rising temperatures, and water stress across Sri Lanka if El Niño conditions emerge during the crucial monsoon period.
The Department of Meteorology has issued a warning that Sri Lanka could experience a prolonged drought lasting until September if El Niño conditions develop during the southwest monsoon season.
According to Ajith Wijemanne, Additional Director General of the Meteorological Department, temperatures are expected to rise sharply after June, increasing the risk of heat stress, water shortages, and pressure on natural resources across the island.
His statement has triggered public debate and criticism, with concerns being raised about whether authorities have taken sufficient preparedness measures to manage the potential impact of such extreme weather conditions.
Officials noted that Sri Lanka is currently in an El Niño neutral phase, but any shift toward El Niño could significantly reduce rainfall during the southwest monsoon, affecting agriculture, irrigation systems, water supply, and everyday life.
At the same time, uncertainty surrounding the forecast has also led to skepticism, with some questioning the accuracy, timing, and reliability of these early warnings issued by the Meteorological Department.
The department further stated that the current inter-monsoon season is expected to conclude by mid-May, after which the southwest monsoon is likely to bring some temporary rainfall and short-term relief to dry areas.
However, meteorological officials cautioned that any cooling effect and rainfall improvement may be brief, as the emergence of El Niño conditions could quickly reverse the situation and prolong dry and hot weather patterns.
